Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.031647 0.036565 0.042009 0.048483 0.055978 0.064386 0.074542
2026-02-01 0.023047 0.029250 0.036792 0.046648 0.059210 0.074715 0.095353
2026-02-08 0.018377 0.025080 0.033846 0.046174 0.063110 0.085635 0.117993
2026-02-15 0.015223 0.022052 0.031531 0.045691 0.066390 0.095673 0.140488
2026-02-22 0.013253 0.020210 0.030376 0.046377 0.071056 0.107893 0.167463
2026-03-01 0.011507 0.018361 0.028846 0.046128 0.074086 0.117856 0.192204
2026-03-08 0.009901 0.016458 0.026907 0.044868 0.075204 0.124796 0.212880
2026-03-15 0.008595 0.014832 0.025156 0.043596 0.076006 0.131146 0.233215
2026-03-22 0.007862 0.014056 0.024678 0.044355 0.080265 0.143712 0.265853
2026-03-29 0.007156 0.013224 0.023983 0.044605 0.083590 0.154964 0.297529
2026-04-05 0.006527 0.012444 0.023270 0.044699 0.086589 0.165907 0.329991
2026-04-12 0.006028 0.011840 0.022796 0.045163 0.090306 0.178582 0.367441
2026-04-19 0.005635 0.011403 0.022608 0.046200 0.095370 0.194690 0.414492
2026-04-26 0.005016 0.010438 0.021278 0.044777 0.095268 0.200441 0.440808
2026-05-03 0.004578 0.009791 0.020504 0.044401 0.097291 0.210818 0.478564
2026-05-10 0.004185 0.009189 0.019748 0.043957 0.099091 0.220907 0.517059
2026-05-17 0.003930 0.008853 0.019514 0.044620 0.103422 0.237081 0.571852
2026-05-24 0.003628 0.008376 0.018916 0.044382 0.105646 0.248735 0.617520
2026-05-31 0.003287 0.007768 0.017953 0.043171 0.105410 0.254605 0.649802
2026-06-07 0.002982 0.007208 0.017034 0.041948 0.104984 0.259949 0.681500
2026-06-14 0.002831 0.007000 0.016920 0.042678 0.109498 0.277994 0.748827
2026-06-21 0.002663 0.006731 0.016625 0.042918 0.112794 0.293381 0.811303
2026-06-28 0.002501 0.006457 0.016289 0.043009 0.115709 0.308157 0.874283